Series 27 Preview: New York Yankees (52-28) at New York Mets (37-39)
Probable Pitchers:
6/25 @ 7:10 PM: Gerrit Cole (0-0, 4.50 ERA) vs. David Peterson (3-0, 3.97 ERA)
6/26 @ 7:10 PM: Luis Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA) vs. Sean Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA)
Yankee Nuggets:
• 114 OPS+ (3rd)
• 127 ERA+ (2nd)
• 21 comeback wins this season (T-3rd most)
• Have won or split 19 of their 25 series this season (going 17-6-2 in those series)
• Juan Soto has reached base safely in 68 of his 77 games this season
• Juan Soto and Aaron Judge reached base multiple times in 48 games this year (both tied for most in the majors)
• Juan Soto has reached base at least 3 times in a Major League-leading 25 games this season
• Juan Soto leads the Majors with a .431 OBP, 63 walks and 150 times on base
• Starters have allowed 3ER-or-fewer in 65 of their 80 starts, 2ER-or-fewer in 52 starts and 1ER-or-fewer in 37 starts
• Aaron Judge is hitting .369/.482/.872 over his last 51 games
• Aaron Judge has 7HR in his last 13 games, 11HR in his last 21 games, 15HR in his last 28 games, 19HR in his last 37 games, 22HR in his last 43 games and 25HR in his last 54 games
• Aaron Judge leads the Majors with 28 HR, 70 RBIs, .686 SLG, 1.108 OPS, 51 extra-base hits, 192 total bases, 20 go-ahead RBIs and 14 game-winning RBIs
46-7 (.868) when scoring at least 4R this year (best in MLB)
• batters lead the Majors in walks (309), rank second in home runs (115, second in AL) and pitches per plate appearance (3.99, second in AL), third in runs scored (399, second in AL), SLG (.430, second in AL) and
• 3.16 SP ERA (2nd)
• 3.39 RP ERA (6th)
• 43-2 when leading after 6
• 6-20 when trailing after 6
• 3-6 when tied after 6
• 47-2 when leading after 7
• 3-21 when trailing after 7
• 2-5 when tied after 7
• 46-2 when leading after 8
• 3-22 when trailing after 8
• 2-4 when tied after 8
• 1-5 in extra-inning games
• 10-9 in one-run games
• 21-16 in two (or fewer)-run games
• 39-4 when NYY scores 5 or more
• 46-7 when NYY scores 4 or more
• 6-21 when NYY scores 3 or fewer
• 4-15 when NYY scores 2 or fewer
• 8-16 when opponent scores 5 or more
• 44-12 when opponent scores 4 or fewer
• 39-8 when opponent scores 3 or fewer
• 26-4 when opponent scores 2 or fewer
• 35-10 when no errors
• 17-18 when making error(s)
• 28-8 when NYY starter goes 6 IP
• 21 comeback wins
• 7-12 when hitting 0 HR
• 45-16 when hitting at least 1 HR
• 26-7 when hitting 2+ HRs
Yankees Insights via Inside Edge (@IE_MLB):
• Yankees hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB
• Aaron Judge has 14 HRs in just 158 ABs (11.3 AB/HR) on the road this season -- best AB per HR rate in MLB
• Juan Soto has chased just 10% of non-fastballs out of the zone down (31/324) this season -- lowest in AL
• Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (108/351) against Luis Gil on fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB
• Yankees hitters are slugging.483 on fastballs this season -- best in MLB
• Yankees hitters have 43 home runs with two-strikes this season -- tied for most in AL
• The Yankees have answered-back in 39% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- highest in MLB
• Aaron Judge has 12 barreled balls on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- most in MLB
• Aaron Judge has 6 home runs on low breaking pitches this season -- tied for most in MLB
• Aaron Judge is batting .339 (58-for-171) against starting pitchers this season -- best in AL
• Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of 50% against the Yankees relief pitchers in lefty-lefty matchups this season -- highest in MLB
• Yankees starting pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just.344 versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- best in MLB
• Aaron Judge is batting .559 (19-for-34) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best in AL
• Jose Trevino has blocked 100% of balls in the dirt (25/25 this season -- tied for best in MLB
• Aaron Judge has 51 extra-base hits out of 84 total hits (61%) this season -- best in MLB
• Aaron Judge has 52 barreled balls on pitches in the strike zone this season -- most in MLB
• Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone this season -- lowest in MLB
Mets Nuggets:
• .248 AVG (11th)
• .319 OBP (10th)
• .729 OPS (11th)
• 354 R (13th)
• 90 HR (8th)
• 111 OPS+ (T-5th)
• 95 ERA+ (T-22nd)
• 4.47 SP ERA (24th)
• 3.54 RP ERA (11th)
Mets Insights via Inside Edge (@IE_MLB):
• Mets pitchers have had third base stolen on them 11 times this season -- most in MLB
• Opponents have a ground ball batting average of.345 against Mets relief pitchers with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB
• Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% against Mets relief pitchers this season -- lowest in MLB
• Mets hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 49% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best in NL
• Mets hitters have 30 home runs with two-strikes this season -- tied for most in NL
• DJ Stewart has chased just 14% of pitches out of the zone (39/287) this season -- lowest in MLB among hitters with at least 114 total PA's
• Mets hitters have 42 home runs versus relief pitchers this season -- most in NL
• Mets hitters are slugging just .512 with the pitcher behind in the count this season -- lowest in NL
• All 20 of Jeff McNeil's non-fastball strikeouts are located down this season -- tied for highest in MLB
• Pete Alonso has 15 extra-base hits out of 27 total hits (56%) with two-strikes this season -- best in NL
• The Mets are batting .286 in hitter's counts this season -- lowest in NL
• The Mets are batting .266 in righty-righty matchups this season -- best in MLB
• Pete Alonso has 9 HRs in just 112 ABs (12.4 AB/HR) versus relief pitchers this season -- best AB per HR rate in NL
• The Mets are just 24-10 (.706) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB
Yankee Killers:
• Pete Alonso: 8 HR in 92 PA
• Francisco Lindor: .313/.396/.549 and .945 OPS
• J.D. Martinez: .281/.333/.504 and .837 OPS, 20 HR
• Brandon Nimmo: .275/.372/.475
• Jeff McNeil: .337/.398/.461
Met Killers:
• Aaron Judge: .299/.345/.727, and 1.073 OPS — 10 HR in 84 PA
• Juan Soto: .291/.412/.567 and .979 OPS
• Anthony Volpe (15 PA): .385/.467/.692 and 1.159 OPS
Last Season vs. NYM:
• Split the season series, 2-2
• NYM: .234/.314/.390
• NYY: .215/.314/.323
What to Watch:
• How can the Yankees fare without Stanton?
• How will bullpens for both teams hold up?
• Old friends meet again: Harrison Bader, Carlos Mendoza, JD Davis
🚇Subway Series History🚇:
• NYY is 80-62 (.563) all-time vs. the Mets
• Their 80 wins are tied for the highest win total by any team over any single opponent in the history of Interleague play (also Tampa Bay's 80 wins vs. Miami).
• Last 34 games vs. Mets: 18-16 (since 2017)
• NYY is 10-4-13 in 27 season series
• NYY has won or tied 9 of the last 10 season series since 2014 (2-1-7)
• NYY is 7-5-3 in 15 season series at Citi Field since it opened in 2009
Previous Series Thoughts:
• Not great at all
• Bullpen really struggling
• Offensive inconsistencies aren’t ideal
The Ideal Outcome:
• Win these 2 games. Cole and Gil — no excuse to drop either game
• Would love to see the Bronx Bombers in Queens